Early week snowstorm potential

**beamer_ball** · January 22nd, 2011, 03:36 PM

The long range models are still onboard, and have been pretty consistent for a while, with bringing a major snowstorm to parts of the eastern U.S. early next week, including this area, mainly for the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame. IF, again if, some of the recent runs were to verify this storm could hammer this area with a significant snowfall...and by significant I don't mean just a few inches and more closer to and possibly in the "feet" category. It all comes down to the phasing and track as usual. If the system tracks up the eastern slopes of the Apps, that would the bring the highest chance for high totals in this region (and most likely a wet snow), a track farther east/south and out to sea would lessen those. As most know, storm tracks up the eastern slopes have historically been the big snow produces for this area. We're still several days away and things could easily change, and probably will at least at little. Its likely the storm could get suppressed to far to the south/east and bring little snow, BUT its something be aware and be ready to prepared just in case.

**R13** · January 22nd, 2011, 03:55 PM

Would it be starting early on tuesday or into that night going into wednesday morning? Or do we not know yet?

**red66** · January 22nd, 2011, 05:47 PM

According to the Kentucky Weather Center they are predicting the low to travel closer to the mountains and upwards to a foot or more of snow for the area.

**beamer_ball** · January 22nd, 2011, 06:45 PM

Originally Posted by R13

Would it be starting early on tuesday or into that night going into wednesday morning? Or do we not know yet?

Probably the worst more toward Tuesday evening and on, but still early to say much, and even then we may see some rain and snow starting as early as Monday. I'd say they'll be a little more confident Sunday as to the track.

**LCAS_712** · January 22nd, 2011, 09:15 PM

I know beamer, I want to really get excited about this storm but the GFS is spoiling my fun right now with only a 6 inches but Im going with the NAM and a bigger storm....

**beamer_ball** · January 23rd, 2011, 12:42 AM

00z NAM dumps over a foot in the region. 00z GFS has trended a little farther west, but brings in a little warmer air at the onset, however with these types of storms dynamic cooling could be at play...so, who knows there, depends on how quick the changeover is. 12z runs tomorrow will be interesting, if its on most model runs and looking likely for a big hit then one begins to take it more seriously.

Please don't go running around, at least right now, saying its going to snow 1-2 feet (or even 1 inch for that matter) though, lol. This could be anywhere from a 1-3 incher to a "shut down" type storm, nothing even close to being set yet. Don't do something like that when no one is saying anything about definitive amounts yet, still too early for anything like that.

**LCAS_712** · January 23rd, 2011, 01:22 AM

+1 to what beamer says folks, I cant wait untill tom. and the new model runs esp. the GFS 12z and the NAM. I know for a fact that either him or I will tell everyone what the models say, untill then log on to kyweathercenter.com for the latest. I know it says ky weather but Chris does a GREAT job for evern our region with his maps and expanations.